Pres. Trump Doing Some “Open Field” Running in Pennsylvania After Biden’s “Oil Market Comment” in the Argument

Throughout the Presidential dispute last week, Pres. Trump handled to draw out of Joe Biden a declaration that may just cost him the election.

If you ever needed an example of the FACT that Donald Trump is a smart guy, and has actually a finely tuned political antenna, keep in mind the truth that as soon as Biden made the comment– which may have been great during the main season– Pres. Trump stated “That’s a big statement.”

Here is a fine example of how this problem was “tee had actually up” for the General Project, but had not really obtained the traction it required to record the attention of citizens.

I think a great deal of argument on this topic stops working to take a step back and provide a BRIEF explanation of what “fracking” is and why it’s an important feature to increased energy independence with its expanded usage through technological development in the previous years.

Hydraulic fracturing, called “ fracking”, includes the fracturing of bedrock in underground oil and gas fields by high-pressure injection of ‘fracking fluid’– mainly water consisting of sand– into well shafts to develop fractures through which gas and oil will stream more easily.

Drilling and hydraulic fracturing have made the United States a significant petroleum exporter as of 2019.

Yes, if you are not totally informed on this issue– in 2019 the United States produced more oil than it consumed, and as an outcome, became a net “exporter” of oil into the world market.

Increased oil and gas production resulting from the decade-long fracking boom has actually led to lower costs for customers, with near-record lows of the share of household income going to energy expenses.

One thing I discovered many years back was the standard idea that lower energy costs were, in result, a tax cut. Lower gas prices at the pump, lower energy bills for your house, lower costs for fuel-intensive markets like farming, lower production costs for durable goods that are made from petroleum-based items– all leave more cash in an individual’s pocket on a monthly basis.

Hydraulic fracturing is presently utilized in Arkansas, California, Colorado, Louisiana, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Texas, Virginia, West Virginia, and Wyoming. I think this list is a bit outdated, and its probably in more prevalent use.

California will be easily brought by Biden, and California oil production is generally more pricey so there is less production when oil costs are low. Arkansas, Louisiana, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Texas, West Virginia, and Wyoming will all be brought easily by Pres. Trump.

Fracking in Virginia is limited to a relatively small location of southwest Virginia, where the resident population is dwarfed by the cities of Eastern Virginia, so it will not have any meaningful impact there.

However Colorado, Ohio, Michigan, and Pennsylvania are not so solidly in one camp or the other than an issue over oil and fracking will play no role in the election.

Social media has effectively throttled the emerging stories of Biden’s corruption including business dealings of his kid Hunter in China and somewhere else, but the “oil” problem raised by Biden’s argument remark was such that all the major media outlets long in the tank for Biden are being required to acknowledge the implications over the next 9 days till the election. Therefore have the Democrat Party.

Forbes: Susceptible Democrats Brake With Biden Over ‘Shift’ From Oil Market

Newsweek: Democrats Rebuke Biden Over Plans to ‘Shift’ Away From Oil

Reuters: Democrats in U.S. drilling states push back versus Biden oil remarks

The political press reporters at all the big media outfits saw the threat in Biden’s gaffe too:

NYTimes: A Debate Pledge to ‘Transition’ From Oil Puts Environment at Center of Project Finale

Politico: Conservatives pounce on Biden’s desire to move far from oil

AP: Biden calls for ‘shift’ from oil, GOP sees opening

WSJ: Oil Industry Bristles at Biden’s Promise to Transition Away From Crude

WaPo: How politically destructive were Biden’s comments about closing down the oil market?

See a common thread there?

The Trump campaign put out a new advertisement this weekend capitalizing the Biden’s error:

Note the images there– a college-educated white female driving a pickup truck and wearing a hardhat. The area ends with her speaking while sitting at her cooking area table.

If you look at the project stops made by Pres. Trump over the previous 3 weeks, he is focusing almost exclusively on Florida, North Carolina and Pennsylvania.

If you look at the electoral map, bring those three states– plus holding on in Arizona– gets him to 278.

And that lacks requiring Wisconsin or Michigan.

He’s made three stops in Pennsylvania in the last 12 days– and it appears that more are prepared today.

The locations he has made stops are Trump-friendly nation, and the purpose behind going to these specific locations can just be to drive turnout.

On October 13 he was in Johnstown, a south-central Pennsylania city between Pittsburgh and West Virginia. Johnstown is in Cambria County, which went 67%for Trump in2016 Here are the adjacent counties and the vote portions won by Trump in 2016: Clearfield (73%), Blair (71%), Bedford (83%), Somerset (77%), Westmorland (64%), Indiana (66%)

On October 20 he visited Erie in the extreme northwest corner of the state, bounded by Canada to the north and Ohio to the West. In 2016, Erie County went just 49%for Trump, but 2 surrounding Pennsylvania counties elected him in much higher numbers– Warren (68%) and Crawford (67%).

Today he remains in Allentown, which is in Lehigh County. This is a relocation into territory that is more “neutral” based on2016 But the campaign’s ballot must recommend there are votes to be won here– most likely due to registration numbers. Lehigh County was under 50%in 2016 (45%), however some of the surrounding counties are really considerable populations and hold a decent number of potential Trump voters who he requires to get to the polls: Berks (53%), Dollars (48%), Carbon (65%), Montgomery (37%), Northampton (50%), and Schuylkill (70%)

What the President and the GOP are performing in Pennsylvania is pushing the big gains in citizen registration they have made in the state considering that 2016.

In this earlier story breaking down the trend line in Pennsylvania voting patterns over the previous few Presidential elections, I noted that the 2016 result shown a gross increase of 315,000 choose the GOP considering that Obama’s 2008 victory, and a gross decrease of 350,000 choose Democrats in the same duration– a 665,000 vote reversal.

In the same period, the registration advantage taken pleasure in by the Democrat party over the Republican party in Pennsylvania dropped from 1.23 million to just over 700,000

But even with a 700,000 advantage in registered voters, Democrats have historically done far worse in turning registration into real votes over a number of election cycles when compared to the GOP turning registrations into actual votes.

In 2016, the real vote overall for Hillary Clinton was just 69%when compared to the number of registered Democrats.

Donald Trump’s actual vote total was 90%when compared to the number of registered Republican politicians.

Since Pres. Turmp is a lot more effective at transforming registered Republicans into actual GOP votes, the overriding objective of the project at this moment is to simply drive turnout. He’s going to places where registration is heavily GOP because every extra citizen he gets to the polls is a near-certain Trump voter.

This is how a prospect ahead protects the win. You don’t give the opponent the oxygen to take states away with narrow margin surprise victories.

That’s how Hillary lost Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania in 2016– and why she is not President today.

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